IDSA Asian Strategic Review 2008
S.D. Muni (Ed.)
About the Book
IDSA Asian Strategic Review 2008, the second volume in the series of Annual Surveys revived by the Institute in the previous year, is divided into six sections. The first section, on international security, discusses some significant developments in the Asian security landscape, while taking stock of the persisting, unresolved concerns. The issues covered include space security in the aftermath of China’s anti-satellite test of 11 January 2007, energy security in the face of galloping oil prices, the growing concern regarding climate change, an evaluation of the current state of the global war on terror, and the evolving situation in Iraq, the safety of Pakistan’s strategic assets, and an assessment of the Sixth Biological and Toxic Weapons Convention.
The next section focuses on the theme related directly to India’s security concerns. Accordingly, India’s strengthened partnerships with the United States and Russia, its ocean security in the backdrop of capacity additions to its Navy, India’s Look East policy with imperatives for Northeast security and India’s acknowledged most pressing internal security challenge, the Maoist insurgency, are analysed in depth.
During the period under review, a number of countries in South Asia—like Pakistan, Bhutan, Nepal, Bangladesh— have experienced a process of political transition. Clouds of anxiety and uncertainty still hang over some of these processes. Afghanistan remains politically unstable and mired in violence. The ethnic conflict in Sri Lanka is degenerating by day without much hope for a viable political solution. Section III deals with these intricate issues of regional turbulence and underlines implications of them for India’s own security and stability.
Section IV contains two articles dealing with strategic trends in Central Asia and the growing strength of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). The next section on East Asia and the Asia-Pacific region contains chapters assessing the implications of China’s Seventeenth Party Congress, an analysis of the relationship between Hu Jintao and the PLA, an examination of Myanmar’s internal politics, Myanmar in the China-India equation, political developments in Japan after the end of Shinzo Abe’s prime-ministerial term, and the challenges confronting the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN).
At the end of this volume, Statistical Appendices provide useful data, charts and tables relating to Asia’s defence and energy sectors.
About the Author(s) / Editor(s)
S.D. MUNI, is a Senior Visiting Fellow with IDSA, currently based in Singapore at the Institute of South Asian Studies. A former professor and Chairperson of the Centre for South, Central and Southeast Asian Studies, he held the prestigious Appadorai Chair at the School of International Studies, at Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. He also served as India's Ambassador to Laos (1997-99) and was sent as Special Envoy to Southeast Asian countries in pursuance of India's claims for a permanent UNSC seat. He was bestowed with Sri Lanka's highest honour for a non-national, “Sri Lanka Ratna” in 2005.
The author/editor of more than twenty books and over a hundred research papers on South/Southeast Asian political and security affairs, Prof. Muni's recent publications include: Internal Conflicts in South Asia, Maoists Insurgency in Nepal, India's Energy Security, China's Strategic Engagement with the New ASEAN, Responding to Terrorism in South Asia.
Contributors
Alok Bansal
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Ashok Behuria
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Abanti Bhattacharya
Associate Fellow, East Asia, IDSA
Vishal Chandra
Associate Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Shanthie Mariet D’Souza
Associate Fellow, US, Europe and Nuclear, IDSA
Shebonti Ray Dadwal
Research Fellow, Energy Security, IDSA
Sreeradha Dutta
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Namrata Goswami
Associate Fellow, Internal Security, IDSA
Ranjit Gupta
Senior Visiting Fellow, IDSA
Monalisa Joshi
Researcher, Modeling and Net
Assessment, IDSA
Gurpreet Khurana
Research Fellow, Military Affairs,
IDSA
Nivedita Das Kundu
Associate Fellow, Russia, and Central
Asia, IDSA
Ajey Lele
Research Fellow, Modeling and Net
Assessment, IDSA
Arpita Mathur
Associate Fellow, East Asia, IDSA
M. Mayilvaganan
Associate Fellow, South Asia,
IDSA
S.D. Muni
Senior Visiting Fellow, IDSA
G.V.C. Naidu
Professor, Centre for East Asian
Studies, JNU, New Delhi
Raviprasad Narayanan
Associate Fellow, East Asia, IDSA
Nihar Nayak
Associate Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Rajiv Nayan
Research Officer, US, Europe and
Nuclear, IDSA
Smruti Pattanaik
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
S. Samuel C. Rajiv
Researcher, US, Europe and Nuclear,
IDSA
P.V. Ramana
Research Fellow, Internal Security,
IDSA
Meena Singh Roy
Research Fellow, Russia and Central Asia,
IDSA
Cherian Samuel
Associate Fellow, US, Europe and Nuclear,
IDSA
Udai Bhanu Singh
Research Officer, East Asia, IDSA
Uttam Kumar Sinha
Research Fellow, Non-Traditional Security,
IDSA
N.S. Sisodia
Director General, IDSA
P. Stobdan
Senior Fellow, West Asia, Central Asia and
Africa, IDSA
Contents in Detail
Contributors
Preface
N.S. Sisodia
Introduction
S.D. Muni
I
International Security: New Dynamics
and Persisting Concerns
1. Asian Space Race
— Ajey Lele
2. Resource Nationalism and the
Global Oil Market
— Shebonti Ray Dadwal
3. Asia and Climate Change
— Uttam Kumar Sinha
4. Taking Stock of the Global War
on Terror
— Shanthie Mariet D’Souza
5. ‘Troop Surge’ and After: Is There an
Exit Strategy?
— S. Samuel C. Rajiv
6. Pakistan’s Strategic Assets:
Global Concerns
— Rajiv Nayan
7. The 6th BTWC Review Conference:
A Year Later
— Monalisa Joshi
II
India in Focus: Strengthened Partnerships,
Rising Profile and Internal Challenges
8. India and the US: Beyond the
Nuclear Deal
— Cherian Samuel
9. India’s Strategic Partnership with
Russia: Old Friends, New Focus
— Nivedita Das Kundu
10. Naval Sealift Capability and
India’s Ocean Security
— Gurpreet S. Khurana
11. Eastern Neighbourhood: Is the
North Eastern Region on Board?
— Namrata Goswami
12. Trends in India’s Maoist Movement
— P.V. Ramana
III
South Asia and Beyond: Transformational Issues
13. Pakistan: Uncertain Transition to
Democracy
— Ashok K. Behuria
14. Top-down Democratic Evolution
in Bhutan
— Nihar Nayak
15. The Bangladesh Military:
Power without Accountability
— Sreeradha Dutta
16. Building a New Nepal:
Pains of State Restructuring
— Smruti Pattanaik
17. The ‘Eelam War IV’: Tigers
in Crisis
— M. Mayilvaganan
18. Democratisation of Maldives:
A Challenging Roadmap
— Alok Bansal
19. Afghanistan: Divided Defenders
of Democracy
— Vishal Chandra
IV
Central Asia: Economic Weaknesses and
Security Dilemmas
20. Strategic Trends in Central Asia
— P. Stobdan
21. The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation:
Acquiring New Punches
— Meena Singh Roy
V
East Asia and the Asia Pacific:
New Agendas and Political Transitions
22. Myanmar’s Political Players
— Udai Bhanu Singh
23. Myanmar in the China-India
Equation
— Ranjit Gupta
24. China’s 17th Party Congress
— Abanti Bhattacharya
25. Hu Jintao and the PLA
— Raviprasad Narayanan
26. Political Transition in Japan
— Arpita Mathur
27. ASEAN at 40: Groping for a
Direction?
— G.V.C Naidu
VI
Statistical Appendix
A-1. Top 25 Defence Spending Nations in Asia,
Including Australia and New Zealand
A-2. Armed Forces Personnel, Top 25 Defence Spending
Nations in Asia, Including Australia and New Zealand
A-3. Major Platforms and Equipment Inventories: Top 20
Defence Spending Nations in Asia, including
Australia and New Zealand
A-4. World Nuclear Forces: Warheads, Delivery
Systems, and Ranges (in km)
A-5. Major Conflicts in Asia, Insurgent/Terrorist
Groups, Fatalities, Current Status, 2007
A-6. Top 15 Energy Producers in Asia (2005)
A-7. Top 15 Energy Consumers in Asia (2005)
A-8. Challenges of Democratisation in India’s
Neighbourhood
| Publisher | AF Press |
| Publication Date | 2008 |
| Number of Pages | 378 |
| ISBN |
9788171887125 |
Academic Foundation (AF), based in New Delhi, is India’s leading independent publisher of academic/scholarly books in Social Sciences, specialising in Economics—Development Economics and Indian Economy in particular, and allied subjects.
About the Book
IDSA Asian Strategic Review 2008, the second volume in the series of Annual Surveys revived by the Institute in the previous year, is divided into six sections. The first section, on international security, discusses some significant developments in the Asian security landscape, while taking stock of the persisting, unresolved concerns. The issues covered include space security in the aftermath of China’s anti-satellite test of 11 January 2007, energy security in the face of galloping oil prices, the growing concern regarding climate change, an evaluation of the current state of the global war on terror, and the evolving situation in Iraq, the safety of Pakistan’s strategic assets, and an assessment of the Sixth Biological and Toxic Weapons Convention.
The next section focuses on the theme related directly to India’s security concerns. Accordingly, India’s strengthened partnerships with the United States and Russia, its ocean security in the backdrop of capacity additions to its Navy, India’s Look East policy with imperatives for Northeast security and India’s acknowledged most pressing internal security challenge, the Maoist insurgency, are analysed in depth.
During the period under review, a number of countries in South Asia—like Pakistan, Bhutan, Nepal, Bangladesh— have experienced a process of political transition. Clouds of anxiety and uncertainty still hang over some of these processes. Afghanistan remains politically unstable and mired in violence. The ethnic conflict in Sri Lanka is degenerating by day without much hope for a viable political solution. Section III deals with these intricate issues of regional turbulence and underlines implications of them for India’s own security and stability.
Section IV contains two articles dealing with strategic trends in Central Asia and the growing strength of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO). The next section on East Asia and the Asia-Pacific region contains chapters assessing the implications of China’s Seventeenth Party Congress, an analysis of the relationship between Hu Jintao and the PLA, an examination of Myanmar’s internal politics, Myanmar in the China-India equation, political developments in Japan after the end of Shinzo Abe’s prime-ministerial term, and the challenges confronting the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN).
At the end of this volume, Statistical Appendices provide useful data, charts and tables relating to Asia’s defence and energy sectors.
About the Author(s) / Editor(s)
S.D. MUNI, is a Senior Visiting Fellow with IDSA, currently based in Singapore at the Institute of South Asian Studies. A former professor and Chairperson of the Centre for South, Central and Southeast Asian Studies, he held the prestigious Appadorai Chair at the School of International Studies, at Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. He also served as India's Ambassador to Laos (1997-99) and was sent as Special Envoy to Southeast Asian countries in pursuance of India's claims for a permanent UNSC seat. He was bestowed with Sri Lanka's highest honour for a non-national, “Sri Lanka Ratna” in 2005.
The author/editor of more than twenty books and over a hundred research papers on South/Southeast Asian political and security affairs, Prof. Muni's recent publications include: Internal Conflicts in South Asia, Maoists Insurgency in Nepal, India's Energy Security, China's Strategic Engagement with the New ASEAN, Responding to Terrorism in South Asia.
Contributors
Alok Bansal
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Ashok Behuria
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Abanti Bhattacharya
Associate Fellow, East Asia, IDSA
Vishal Chandra
Associate Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Shanthie Mariet D’Souza
Associate Fellow, US, Europe and Nuclear, IDSA
Shebonti Ray Dadwal
Research Fellow, Energy Security, IDSA
Sreeradha Dutta
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Namrata Goswami
Associate Fellow, Internal Security, IDSA
Ranjit Gupta
Senior Visiting Fellow, IDSA
Monalisa Joshi
Researcher, Modeling and Net
Assessment, IDSA
Gurpreet Khurana
Research Fellow, Military Affairs,
IDSA
Nivedita Das Kundu
Associate Fellow, Russia, and Central
Asia, IDSA
Ajey Lele
Research Fellow, Modeling and Net
Assessment, IDSA
Arpita Mathur
Associate Fellow, East Asia, IDSA
M. Mayilvaganan
Associate Fellow, South Asia,
IDSA
S.D. Muni
Senior Visiting Fellow, IDSA
G.V.C. Naidu
Professor, Centre for East Asian
Studies, JNU, New Delhi
Raviprasad Narayanan
Associate Fellow, East Asia, IDSA
Nihar Nayak
Associate Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
Rajiv Nayan
Research Officer, US, Europe and
Nuclear, IDSA
Smruti Pattanaik
Research Fellow, South Asia, IDSA
S. Samuel C. Rajiv
Researcher, US, Europe and Nuclear,
IDSA
P.V. Ramana
Research Fellow, Internal Security,
IDSA
Meena Singh Roy
Research Fellow, Russia and Central Asia,
IDSA
Cherian Samuel
Associate Fellow, US, Europe and Nuclear,
IDSA
Udai Bhanu Singh
Research Officer, East Asia, IDSA
Uttam Kumar Sinha
Research Fellow, Non-Traditional Security,
IDSA
N.S. Sisodia
Director General, IDSA
P. Stobdan
Senior Fellow, West Asia, Central Asia and
Africa, IDSA
Contents in Detail
Contributors
Preface
N.S. Sisodia
Introduction
S.D. Muni
I
International Security: New Dynamics
and Persisting Concerns
1. Asian Space Race
— Ajey Lele
2. Resource Nationalism and the
Global Oil Market
— Shebonti Ray Dadwal
3. Asia and Climate Change
— Uttam Kumar Sinha
4. Taking Stock of the Global War
on Terror
— Shanthie Mariet D’Souza
5. ‘Troop Surge’ and After: Is There an
Exit Strategy?
— S. Samuel C. Rajiv
6. Pakistan’s Strategic Assets:
Global Concerns
— Rajiv Nayan
7. The 6th BTWC Review Conference:
A Year Later
— Monalisa Joshi
II
India in Focus: Strengthened Partnerships,
Rising Profile and Internal Challenges
8. India and the US: Beyond the
Nuclear Deal
— Cherian Samuel
9. India’s Strategic Partnership with
Russia: Old Friends, New Focus
— Nivedita Das Kundu
10. Naval Sealift Capability and
India’s Ocean Security
— Gurpreet S. Khurana
11. Eastern Neighbourhood: Is the
North Eastern Region on Board?
— Namrata Goswami
12. Trends in India’s Maoist Movement
— P.V. Ramana
III
South Asia and Beyond: Transformational Issues
13. Pakistan: Uncertain Transition to
Democracy
— Ashok K. Behuria
14. Top-down Democratic Evolution
in Bhutan
— Nihar Nayak
15. The Bangladesh Military:
Power without Accountability
— Sreeradha Dutta
16. Building a New Nepal:
Pains of State Restructuring
— Smruti Pattanaik
17. The ‘Eelam War IV’: Tigers
in Crisis
— M. Mayilvaganan
18. Democratisation of Maldives:
A Challenging Roadmap
— Alok Bansal
19. Afghanistan: Divided Defenders
of Democracy
— Vishal Chandra
IV
Central Asia: Economic Weaknesses and
Security Dilemmas
20. Strategic Trends in Central Asia
— P. Stobdan
21. The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation:
Acquiring New Punches
— Meena Singh Roy
V
East Asia and the Asia Pacific:
New Agendas and Political Transitions
22. Myanmar’s Political Players
— Udai Bhanu Singh
23. Myanmar in the China-India
Equation
— Ranjit Gupta
24. China’s 17th Party Congress
— Abanti Bhattacharya
25. Hu Jintao and the PLA
— Raviprasad Narayanan
26. Political Transition in Japan
— Arpita Mathur
27. ASEAN at 40: Groping for a
Direction?
— G.V.C Naidu
VI
Statistical Appendix
A-1. Top 25 Defence Spending Nations in Asia,
Including Australia and New Zealand
A-2. Armed Forces Personnel, Top 25 Defence Spending
Nations in Asia, Including Australia and New Zealand
A-3. Major Platforms and Equipment Inventories: Top 20
Defence Spending Nations in Asia, including
Australia and New Zealand
A-4. World Nuclear Forces: Warheads, Delivery
Systems, and Ranges (in km)
A-5. Major Conflicts in Asia, Insurgent/Terrorist
Groups, Fatalities, Current Status, 2007
A-6. Top 15 Energy Producers in Asia (2005)
A-7. Top 15 Energy Consumers in Asia (2005)
A-8. Challenges of Democratisation in India’s
Neighbourhood
| Publisher | AF Press |
| Publication Date | 2008 |
| Number of Pages | 378 |
| ISBN |
9788171887125 |
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IDSA Asian Strategic Review 2008